I have always seen differences between people who stay deeply involved with something and people whose attention constantly moves.
AI makes me think that difference may become more important.
If someone remains at the surface of many areas, AI can help them enormously. But it can also help almost everyone else operate at that surface.
A reasonable explanation, first draft, initial analysis or piece of code is becoming easier to produce.
So where does an individual advantage come from?
I increasingly think part of it will come from going further down.
1. Understanding the customer better.
2. Understanding the product better.
3. Understanding the technology beyond the immediate task.
4. Knowing the history behind decisions.
7. Recognizing exceptions.
8. Knowing when the obvious answer doesn't fit.
That kind of understanding is difficult to accumulate when attention is constantly being reset.
Research on what Sophie Leroy calls attention residue supports at least part of this problem. Her experiments found that when people switch away from unfinished work, part of their attention can remain with the previous task and performance on the subsequent task can suffer.[2]
That research predates today's AI tools, but I think the underlying problem becomes even more relevant when technology makes it so easy to move between ideas, tasks and domains.
This is why I suspect people with scattered attention may find it harder to differentiate themselves in an AI-enabled workplace not because AI makes them incapable, but because AI makes shallow capability much easier for everybody to obtain.